John Fredrick Parker
Donor
Here's another way of looking at this -- of the two more popular scenarios, the Caliphate fracturing longer term or the Zubayrids prevailing in the civil war, which one is more likely/plausible? And going with this option, what needs to happen for this to come about? And once we have that, what are the effects?So was looking to see if we had any good AH discussions on the Second Fitna, and it seems those we do have are pretty short, and focused on one of two scenarios: Islam fracturing earlier (here, here), or Zubayr prevailing (here), or the Alids (here). Anyone think a new discussion thread could offer more?
If fracturing the more likely scenario, how is Islam effected if the Ummayads have a region of control pretty much consisting of Islam's "Roman" conquests? If Zubayr prevailing is more likely, would this mean that the Caliphate avoids becoming a pseudo-monarchy as it did under the Ummayads, or does it just mean a different tribe controls the office?
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