What if the Islamized Seljuk Turks migrate to China on masse instead of the middle east?

Almost nothing is known about Satuq Bughra Khan.
However, the Samanids were at a golden age at this time, controlling all central Asia and eastern Persia. Initiating the Persian Renaissance and with trade links as far as the Baltic sea.

In the 924 the Samanids seem to have sent an envoy to the Later Tang and to Abaoji of the Liao via the karakhanids. Showing they had great interest in China.

But the Samanids would eventually decline by the mid 900s, due to their professional Turkic slave soldiers puppetizing them.
Then in 960s one of their slave commanders founded an independent dynasty, the ghaznavids who took most of their Iranian/Afghan possessions. Finally the Qarakhanid took Bukhara in 992 ending them.



So instead Nasr ii could send a large number of the Samanids professional slave army along with the newly converted Qarakhanid to push eastwards.
Preventing diverting their attentions and focuses away from Transoxiana.

The kingdom of Qocho, Guiyi Circuit, Ganzhou Uyghurs, Xiliangfu Tibetans and finally Qi kingdom remnants in Shaanxi all seem fairly weak, since the western Xia defeated them quite easily.

The Naimans and Keraites of southwestern Mongolia were inclined to Abrahamic religions via their conversion to Nestorian Christianity.
But in the 900s, they were still pagan, and unlike Nestorian Christianity, Islam would have the rich and powerful Samanids supporting and propagating it. Potentially the Qarakhanid could engage in military action against the Naimans and Keraites to make them convert if they do not do so willingly.

Incorporation of Naimans and Keraites would significantly increase Qarakhanid manpower. Whilst their location within Mongolia would allow them to challenge the Khitan on their hometurf.



As for China, then it's an absolute mess. If Shaanxi can be taken, then it's highly defendable, with only small mountainous passes connecting it to the north China plain. It's defensibility is why it was the historic capital of china for so long.
Thus it would be difficult for Chinese forces within the north China plain to attempt to attack Qarakhanid Shaanxi. While it's easy for Shaanxi yo attack the north China plain.
(Shaanxi also allows attack on Sichuan, though Sichuan is unimportant)

The Shatuo Turks had founded the brief later Tang dynasty. With its fall in 937, the Shatuo were no longer in charge. The fellow Turkic and probably mutually intelligible Karakhanids might be able to win over these Shatuo Turks, giving them a massive advantage since the Shatuo have much better knowledge of Chinese tactics, terrain, governance and politics after 2 decades of rule.


Thus, if the Qarakhanid-Shatuo alliance manages to dominate the north China plain, like the Song did by 960. Then the rest of southern China should fall within a few decades.


Otherwise they'd probably be able to keep Gansu, like the western Xia did. And perhaps even Shaanxi. Fromwhich they can influence both the Liao and Song and occasionally raid the North China plain.
And would become a Persian-Chinese hybrid.
The Shatuo Turks actually lasted til 951. The Founder of the Later Jin Dynasty and the Later Han Dynasty were also Shatuo Turk. The Later Han Dynasty would maintain a rump state around Taiyuan until 979.
 
Almost nothing is known about Satuq Bughra Khan.
However, the Samanids were at a golden age at this time, controlling all central Asia and eastern Persia. Initiating the Persian Renaissance and with trade links as far as the Baltic sea.

In the 924 the Samanids seem to have sent an envoy to the Later Tang and to Abaoji of the Liao via the karakhanids. Showing they had great interest in China.

But the Samanids would eventually decline by the mid 900s, due to their professional Turkic slave soldiers puppetizing them.
Then in 960s one of their slave commanders founded an independent dynasty, the ghaznavids who took most of their Iranian/Afghan possessions. Finally the Qarakhanid took Bukhara in 992 ending them.



So instead Nasr ii could send a large number of the Samanids professional slave army along with the newly converted Qarakhanid to push eastwards.
Preventing diverting their attentions and focuses away from Transoxiana.

The kingdom of Qocho, Guiyi Circuit, Ganzhou Uyghurs, Xiliangfu Tibetans and finally Qi kingdom remnants in Shaanxi all seem fairly weak, since the western Xia defeated them quite easily.

The Naimans and Keraites of southwestern Mongolia were inclined to Abrahamic religions via their conversion to Nestorian Christianity.
But in the 900s, they were still pagan, and unlike Nestorian Christianity, Islam would have the rich and powerful Samanids supporting and propagating it. Potentially the Qarakhanid could engage in military action against the Naimans and Keraites to make them convert if they do not do so willingly.

Incorporation of Naimans and Keraites would significantly increase Qarakhanid manpower. Whilst their location within Mongolia would allow them to challenge the Khitan on their hometurf.



As for China, then it's an absolute mess. If Shaanxi can be taken, then it's highly defendable, with only small mountainous passes connecting it to the north China plain. It's defensibility is why it was the historic capital of china for so long.
Thus it would be difficult for Chinese forces within the north China plain to attempt to attack Qarakhanid Shaanxi. While it's easy for Shaanxi yo attack the north China plain.
(Shaanxi also allows attack on Sichuan, though Sichuan is unimportant)

The Shatuo Turks had founded the brief later Tang dynasty. With its fall in 937, the Shatuo were no longer in charge. The fellow Turkic and probably mutually intelligible Karakhanids might be able to win over these Shatuo Turks, giving them a massive advantage since the Shatuo have much better knowledge of Chinese tactics, terrain, governance and politics after 2 decades of rule.


Thus, if the Qarakhanid-Shatuo alliance manages to dominate the north China plain, like the Song did by 960. Then the rest of southern China should fall within a few decades.


Otherwise they'd probably be able to keep Gansu, like the western Xia did. And perhaps even Shaanxi. Fromwhich they can influence both the Liao and Song and occasionally raid the North China plain.
And would become a Persian-Chinese hybrid.
Okay so here's a potential road of plausibility then based on your suggestions:
-either due to ambition or wanting to distract his shrewd turkic army and sunni rivals from properly responding to his Ismai'lism conversion, Nasr II plans a campaign to secure the tarim basin for better access to trade (and one that could make any ambitious projects further east more easier to do)
-938 CE: Samanid troops successfully subdue the Ocho Kingdom and unlucky smaller cities and tribes in the warpath
-Nasr II also allies with the newly converted Khagan of the Qarakhanids and successfully convinces him to aid in the campaigns of north western China in exchange for territory there
-947 CE: the Liao incursions weaken the Late Jin dynasty and the Qarakhanids take advantage of this, they later go on to fight the Liao but the war ends in a stalemate and the two parties eventually agree to divide the former areas of the Late Jin.
-980 CE: due to infighting, the Samanids begin to weaken and the Qarakhanids smell blood, and begin to take its overstretched Chinese territories.
-1001-1005 CE: Muntasir attempts to restore the crumbling empire by attacking the Qarakhanids in the Tarim he enjoys some success but is eventually forced to pull back due to the arrival of the Oghuz turks to the north
Plausible so far?
 
I think including the Samanids is an unnecessary complication for several reasons. One is the shear distance. It is about 2,500km from Samarkand to Shanxi. That is similar to the distance the Caliphs were from the Maghreb except worse since no sea. Barely realistic. Realistically the Karakhanids will stay a rump vassal in Zhetysu, likely Kashgar is taken from them. You would then need a great conqueror Karakhanid to exploit that.

Much simpler to cut out the middleman. Kharakhanids were split between the sons of Satuq, who converted to Islam, after his death in 955. Eastern guy, Musa, made absolute mess of fighting Khotan. Western guy apparently did nothing much, but his son more or less overran the Saminids before being cut short by an illness. I think simplest think is to make one of Satuq’s sons a great conqueror type. Samanids still look strong at this point. He conquers Khotan, then the Uyghur Kingdom. Then the Yellow Head and Ganzhou Uyghurs. Then Guiyi and Lingu, Dingnan, and the Tanguts. There have been probably some clashes with the Khitan. Naimans and Kherids made vassals (far from Khitan center of gravity). But the Khitan have a unified Song China problem on their hands. 976-86 was a pretty high intense conflict period. Our conqueror allies with the Khitan against the Song. By the time the conqueror dies around 990, Shanxi and the Weihei valley are added. Result is sort of similar to the Western Xia except larger. Don't want to have *too* many Chinese, as want to be possible to be an elite without too much assimilation. For spreading Islam/Turkic we want a dynamic where the Tanguts, Ugyhurs, Mongols, etc assimilate in to the Karakhanids. Here is a map I made:
1702671876323.png
 
Much simpler to cut out the middleman. Kharakhanids were split between the sons of Satuq, who converted to Islam, after his death in 955. Eastern guy, Musa, made absolute mess of fighting Khotan. Western guy apparently did nothing much, but his son more or less overran the Saminids before being cut short by an illness. I think simplest think is to make one of Satuq’s sons a great conqueror type. Samanids still look strong at this point. He conquers Khotan, then the Uyghur Kingdom. Then the Yellow Head and Ganzhou Uyghurs. Then Guiyi and Lingu, Dingnan, and the Tanguts. There have been probably some clashes with the Khitan. Naimans and Kherids made vassals (far from Khitan center of gravity). But the Khitan have a unified Song China problem on their hands. 976-86 was a pretty high intense conflict period. Our conqueror allies with the Khitan against the Song. By the time the conqueror dies around 990, Shanxi and the Weihei valley are added. Result is sort of similar to the Western Xia except larger. Don't want to have *too* many Chinese, as want to be possible to be an elite without too much assimilation. For spreading Islam/Turkic we want a dynamic where the Tanguts, Ugyhurs, Mongols, etc assimilate in to the Karakhanids. Here is a map I made:
I think one thing that could happen is basically Sichuan being conquered by a kharakhanid conquerer, as Sichuan is traditionally a Chinese region that's rather isolated if you hold the correct passes. It'd be a perfect place to settle Turkish settlers and build a state there if they kill enough of original Chinese inhabitants and put in a bunch of Islamised Uyghurs.
 
I think one thing that could happen is basically Sichuan being conquered by a kharakhanid conquerer, as Sichuan is traditionally a Chinese region that's rather isolated if you hold the correct passes. It'd be a perfect place to settle Turkish settlers and build a state there if they kill enough of original Chinese inhabitants and put in a bunch of Islamised Uyghurs.
Rather difficult to conquer the place. Especially with the rest of the empire at large. Sichuan is usually one of the last places in China to surrender to foreign invaders whether it be the Mongols or the Manchus. There were holdouts IOTL well after the Song Dynasty and Ming Dynasty has been extinguished.
 
Rather difficult to conquer the place. Especially with the rest of the empire at large. Sichuan is usually one of the last places in China to surrender to foreign invaders whether it be the Mongols or the Manchus. There were holdouts IOTL well after the Song Dynasty and Ming Dynasty has been extinguished.
That's true. I do think it's a possible place for them to stay a majority like how the Hungarians took over the Pannonian basin, and invasions always takes a bunch of luck and circumstance.
 
That's true. I do think it's a possible place for them to stay a majority like how the Hungarians took over the Pannonian basin, and invasions always takes a bunch of luck and circumstance.
I rather doubt that they would settle the place en masse. Once they take over China, every last Turk is valuable manpower to keep the Chinese down. They would likely be spread around China as ‘knights’ ala sipahi/eight banners to keep the natives down.
 
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I rather doubt that they would settle the place en masse. Once they take over China, every last Turk is valuable manpower to keep the Chinese down. They would likely be spread around China as ‘knights’ ala sipahi/eight banners to keep the natives down.
I still do think that China would probably have some regions that would get filled with Turks if they settle in for more than just one generation. tbf the Northern plain is prime grounds for settlement if they could afford to basically piss off one of the most densely populated regions in China. Hell, it may be doable if they do it a la Genghis khan in Khorasan. They'd basically be ruling over the ashes though, so it isn't the best course of action by a mile, but it'd cement Turkish pols in the region.
 
Okay so here's a potential road of plausibility then based on your suggestions:
-either due to ambition or wanting to distract his shrewd turkic army and sunni rivals from properly responding to his Ismai'lism conversion, Nasr II plans a campaign to secure the tarim basin for better access to trade (and one that could make any ambitious projects further east more easier to do)
-938 CE: Samanid troops successfully subdue the Ocho Kingdom and unlucky smaller cities and tribes in the warpath
-Nasr II also allies with the newly converted Khagan of the Qarakhanids and successfully convinces him to aid in the campaigns of north western China in exchange for territory there
-947 CE: the Liao incursions weaken the Late Jin dynasty and the Qarakhanids take advantage of this, they later go on to fight the Liao but the war ends in a stalemate and the two parties eventually agree to divide the former areas of the Late Jin.
-980 CE: due to infighting, the Samanids begin to weaken and the Qarakhanids smell blood, and begin to take its overstretched Chinese territories.
-1001-1005 CE: Muntasir attempts to restore the crumbling empire by attacking the Qarakhanids in the Tarim he enjoys some success but is eventually forced to pull back due to the arrival of the Oghuz turks to the north
Plausible so far?
Samanids leading the charge is very unlikely.
I was more referring to them giving a few thousand Samanid professional soldiers to help in sieges and in being an elite force carrying complex maneuvers that the less disciplined nomads might be unable to carry out. Playing an assisting role.
But the karakhanids would be the overwhelming majority and push the charge. (Sedentary Samanids wouldn't be able to integrate/assimilate Uyghur, Naiman, Kerait, Tangut, Shatuo nomads to the same level as Qarakhanid)
The Samanids wouldn't have any direct control over Karakhanid China, but Qarakhanid China would draw heavily on the Samanid court, administration and culture in general.
But the Samanids would greatly benefit from the increased trade of the unfied and safer silk road. The improved economic conditions could potentially allow them to last longer.
The riches of China campaigns might draw a significant portion of the Samanid military eastwards in search of booty, somewhat like Ghaznavids in India. This would weaken the power of the Samanid military, perhaps allowing them to prevent their commanders from puppetizing them....?
 
Much simpler to cut out the middleman. Kharakhanids were split between the sons of Satuq, who converted to Islam, after his death in 955. Eastern guy, Musa, made absolute mess of fighting Khotan. Western guy apparently did nothing much, but his son more or less overran the Saminids before being cut short by an illness. I think simplest think is to make one of Satuq’s sons a great conqueror type. Samanids still look strong at this point. He conquers Khotan, then the Uyghur Kingdom. Then the Yellow Head and Ganzhou Uyghurs. Then Guiyi and Lingu, Dingnan, and the Tanguts. There have been probably some clashes with the Khitan. Naimans and Kherids made vassals (far from Khitan center of gravity). But the Khitan have a unified Song China problem on their hands. 976-86 was a pretty high intense conflict period. Our conqueror allies with the Khitan against the Song. By the time the conqueror dies around 990, Shanxi and the Weihei valley are added. Result is sort of similar to the Western Xia except larger. Don't want to have *too* many Chinese, as want to be possible to be an elite without too much assimilation. For spreading Islam/Turkic we want a dynamic where the Tanguts, Ugyhurs, Mongols, etc assimilate in to the Karakhanids. Here is a map I made:
View attachment 875451
Ideally, if Satuq pushes east soon after converting in 934, he might be able to take Shaanxi by the mid-late 950s. Meaning the Song haven't established themselves in the north China plain yet, which could potentially allow for a Qarakhanid conquest of the whole plain, thereby enabling a Qarakhanid China.


If they reach China after the early 960s, the most they could get is Shaanxi, but even that might be difficult to maintain....
 
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You would then need a great conqueror Karakhanid to exploit that.

Much simpler to cut out the middleman. Kharakhanids were split between the sons of Satuq, who converted to Islam, after his death in 955. Eastern guy, Musa, made absolute mess of fighting Khotan. Western guy apparently did nothing much, but his son more or less overran the Saminids before being cut short by an illness. I think simplest think is to make one of Satuq’s sons a great conqueror type. Samanids still look strong at this point. He conquers Khotan, then the Uyghur Kingdom. Then the Yellow Head and Ganzhou Uyghurs. Then Guiyi and Lingu, Dingnan, and the Tanguts.
hmmm, I dunno about making a son a more ambitious, militarily intellectual type, aren't personality/skill changes considered ASB?
 
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Samanids leading the charge is very unlikely.
I was more referring to them giving a few thousand Samanid professional soldiers to help in sieges and in being an elite force carrying complex maneuvers that the less disciplined nomads might be unable to carry out. Playing an assisting role.
But the karakhanids would be the overwhelming majority and push the charge. (Sedentary Samanids wouldn't be able to integrate/assimilate Uyghur, Naiman, Kerait, Tangut, Shatuo nomads to the same level as Qarakhanid)
I see, so the Qarakhanids request for soldiers from the Samanids in exchange for better silk road trade deals? maybe the deal could be further sweetened through a marriage perhaps? this would also mean that Satuq is more ambitious which again as you say is hard to discern as good info is hard to find
 
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I rather doubt that they would settle the place en masse. Once they take over China, every last Turk is valuable manpower to keep the Chinese down. They would likely be spread around China as ‘knights’ ala sipahi/eight banners to keep the natives down.
I mean they could alleviate some of the issues of having to use every available Turk ala Janissary, they already got inspiration with how the Samanids and other Muslim states have been using slave soldiers
 
I mean they could alleviate some of the issues of having to use every available Turk ala Janissary, they already got inspiration with how the Samanids and other Muslim states have been using slave soldiers
Janissaries are not cheap. They are unlikely to be able to spread across the entirety of China either. Everyone else used a mixture of land grants and slave soldiers.
 
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hmmm, I dunno about making a son a more ambitious, militarily intellectual type, aren't personality/skill changes considered ASB?
if the pod is a different son then no. bc being fertilised is like playing slots with the genes of humans.
 
The "Five Kingdoms and Ten Dynasties" Period (907-979 CE) was a period of political unrest in China, when there wasn't any real centralised rule. During this time, would it be possible/likely for Muslim Turks to start conquering China piecemeal, state-by-state? That way, the Turks might establish themselves as the reunifiers of China rather than the usurpers/conquerors of the Tang.
It's possible. That's all I could say. Even the Khitans could have if they had a little more luck and stuck to their guns IOTL after capturing the Later Jin Emperor.
 
I'm attaching a scenario I created, in which the Mughal Empire arose in China rather than India. Butterflies abound, but that was part of the fun of writing it. Anyway, let me know what y'all think:


Ispah, or Bosiyü

Language:
Bùlùo, Persian, Arabic, Mandarin Chinese, Dungan, Uyghur, various others
Ancestry: Turco-Persian and Chinese (mainly Northern Han, Northeastern Han, and Hui), with some Mongol, Uyghur, and other nomadic influence.
Religion: Sunni Islam, small Shia minority; often influenced by the menhuan, or native Chinese Sufi orders
Description: Timur's last ambition was to conquer China, and thus reunite the empire of the Great Khans. But while campaigning against the Ming Dynasty, he fell ill and died at Otrar (a Silk Road city at the Timurid-Ming border) in 1405. He was 68 years old, so I don't know if he could have done it anyway. However, in this timeline, his illustrious descendant Babur fulfils his ambition -- rather than going south to conquer India and found the Mughal Empire (as he did in OTL) Babur goes east, first conquering Dzungaria and Uyghurstan before moving on to conquering the northern part of the Ming Dynasty in 1526. Taking Beijing as his capital and renaming it Khanbaliq, Babur founded the Ispah Empire (Ispah being the Chinese pronunciation of "sepah," a Persian word for cavalry -- in Turkish, "sipahi"; in English, "Sepoy"). The Ispah Empire is also sometimes called the Bosiyü (Persian) Empire.
In OTL, the Mughal conquest of India led to much cross-cultural exchange, leading to the development of Indo-Persian culture. This included the development of Urdu -- the language of the Urd ("horde"), which was originally a pidgin of Persian, Chaghatai Turkish, Pashto, and various regional languages like Punjabi and Pahari. Likewise, Ispah culture saw the rise of Bùlùo ("horde") -- a dialect of Persian with a heavy Chinese influence. The Ispah ruling classes were (and remain) Muslim, and though Islam made some inroads among the native Chinese, Muslims are still the minority in China, much as they are in OTL India.
Babur's grandson, Akbar, would briefly move his capital to Xanadu, much as OTL Akbar moved to Fatehpur-Sikri; and also as IOTL, he would move back to his traditional capital at Khanbaliq, after the wells in his new capital dried up. Akbar would attempt to style himself as a more traditional Chinese Emperor, even calling himself the "Son of Heaven" and claiming that his rule was divine -- much as he did in India OTL, styling himself as a divine ruler and seeking the legitimacy of Brahmins and Jains. This would be deeply offensive to orthodox Muslims like his grandson, Shah Jahan, who would be a tolerant ruler, but would make it clear that the Ispah Empire was under Islamic law, not Confucian or any other. So while Shah Jahan would patronise Confucian scholarship, he would also enforce Islamic law as a matter of policy, and would build a network of grand mosques to encourage the Islamisation of China. Instead of the Grand Mosque of Delhi and the Taj Mahal, he would be known for the Imperial Mosque of Khanbaliq and the Xīn'ài de Língmù ("Beloved Mausoleum"). The reign of Aurangzeb would see the empire reach its greatest territorial heights -- Aurangzeb would conquer the Ispah's rivals in southern China, much as IOTL he would conquer the Deccan. However, Aurangzeb's reign would suffer many rebellions due to overextension, regional factionalism, and Ispah-Han tensions -- much as OTL would see the rise of the Marathas, Aurangzeb in this timeline would face the Red Turban Rebllion (who took their name from the Han rebels against the Mongol Yuan Dynasty). The Ispah would hold their power base in northern China, but Ispahi control over southern and central China would be contentious at best.
Regardless -- under the Ispahs, Islam became a part of Chinese society, about as much as Confucianism, Taoism, or Legalism. The Ispah also introduced a number of Turco-Persian arts and cultural affects which China never really lost -- for example, Persian styles of poetry became popular in native Chinese languages; Turco-Persian dishes like samosas and kebabs became a part of Chinese cuisine, using native Chinese ingredients; and new martial arts emerged like Pǔlǔshì (from Furusiyyah) and Chinese styles of Pahlivani wrestling.
 
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