Is the technology there to provide high speed, powerful & reliable, single locomotive diesel trains at that time?
Powerful enough - the
1951 Motive Power Report does say that the most demanding duties would require twin units, but that a large-scale trial was still worth carrying out.
Build Deltic's and a 37's. Also maybe a 47.
I like the Deltic, but it's a niche locomotive for main-line expresses rather than a general service mixed traffic locomotive. The lines it'd run on are the priorities for electrification, so it makes more sense to use something that can be cascaded elsewhere.
The 2,000hp English Electric locomotive is basically 10203, though I'd prefer the running gear and bodyshell of 10000/10001. Even if it enters service at a 1,600hp or 1,750hp rating, it's got a clear upgrade path to 2,700hp in 1961 or so. Run them in pairs (as the LMS and LNER planned to) for the top-flight expresses, rather than develop Deltics, until the
The proto-Class 33 wouldn't be too demanding; it would probably run on A1A-A1A bogies to give the weight for steam heat. It develops to 1,800hp by about 1960 as the 8LDA28 gets uprated. Ideally, I'd follow it up by a Bo-Bo with an 8LVA25 - install electric heating in the carriages, and fit the bearings correctly, and that's a Really Useful Locomotive.
If you want to swap the English Electric and the Sulzer/Crompton power classes, that's no big deal. The reasoning for using those specific combinations of diesel prime mover and electrical equipment is that - unlike most of the other weird choices - they actually worked. And having both present means you're not depending on a single supplier. The smaller loco is pretty similar in both cases; the big Sulzer/Crompton is a bit less powerful than the big English Electric, but is potentially a bit lighter. My preference is the big English Electric because it was already being proven with the LMS and Southern diesels - and in my ATL, the LNER ones as well.
The problem with early electrification is that I doubt it will be at 25kv. I don't want to have to pay twice for electrification works so we need to agree on 25kv and crack on but ONLY if the technology is there to do that early - i am not sure it is
I'd have the studies start in 1951, by which time France is rolling out 25kV main line electrification. That probably lets the construction work start in 1954-1955, giving a good 5 years head start on OTL, with a view to having all the major routes (broadly as per OTL's
1981 study) electrified at some point between 1970 and 1980.
One of the intreresting things with that proposed electrification programme is that they'd take it from the ECML to Colwick Yard in Nottingham for mineral (i.e. coal) traffic,
with a possible linking up with the Manchester-Sheffield-Wath electrification. That is, there was consideration at that time of electrifying from Nottingham to Sheffield on the Great Central line.
Go for it! My only issue with third rail is that while it is good technology in 1933/53 it is a bit old fashioned by 2023.
It was old fashioned by 1963: 25kV to Bournemouth was considered, but would have caused too many problems with electrical compatibility. Unless you're prepared to rewire the whole Southern system, either stick with diesels until dual-system trains are possible in the 1990s, or commit to third rail. The rational decision at the time would be to electrify using the existing system; that way, the electrical compatibility issues are limited to a couple of exchange points.