New Sweden is unlikely to survive, the Dutch were in a much stronger position but I still think an English settlement in New England is more likely than not. It's not like the Mayflower was the first attempt. Gosnold's attempt at Cuttyhunk and pretty successful Popham Colony demonstrate English interest in the region meaning some sort of English settlement is a near certainty.
I think it's likely the English will settle New England too. What's interesting though, is ITTL, instead of fleeing royal tyranny to seek religious freedom, zealous Protestants will settle New England in the name of England's godly king. Down the line, this completely changes how the American colonists think of their own relation to England, and how the English think of them.
America would never be the powerhouse of higher education that it is today. The Puritans, for all their faults, were pretty hardcore when it came to establishing themselves as a literate society (so everyone could read and interpret Scripture), and while religious zealotry waned and waxed over the course of the 18th and early 19th centuries, that emphasis on universal education remained.
That sort of education model wasn't present in the southern and middle colonies, where primary education was restricted to the upper classes, who hired tutors for that purpose. The New England colonies provided the precedence for the establishment of local schools supported by taxes taken from local residents.
They didn't want to pay said taxes without representation. Post revolution American taxes skyrocketed, the issue wasn't the cost, but the lack of voice in the political process.That founding ideology only really got emphasised in OTL post the Revolution for obvious reasons and at least imho the development of colonial self-interest and identity and gradual divergence from the mother country is inevitable in any colonial venture. All the different founding story would mean is that if a couple of hundred years down the line the American colonies self-interest and the Crowns diverge then the rebellious colonials will have to search a bit harder for justification.
At the end of the day the 13 Colonies rebelled because they didn't want to pay taxes to fund military protection they didn't need any more after the conquest of Canada. The rest was just rhetorical justification.
Oh, I thought we were talking about the effects of zero immigration to the New England.
They didn't want to pay said taxes without representation. Post revolution American taxes skyrocketed, the issue wasn't the cost, but the lack of voice in the political process.