Abdul Hadi Pasha
Banned
On a long and boring conference call, I calculated the proportion of the population of what was Ottoman Europe in 1876 is Muslim today.
I took all the territory of the empire and used Wikipedia to determine the populations and the % Muslim - when necessary, I delved into individual districts.
The results - Name, total pop, % Muslim, ttl Muslim:
Bulgaria 7,639,000 12.2% 931,958
Macedonia 2,038,514 33.3% 678,825
Bosnia 4,552,198 40.0% 1,820,879
Albania 3,600,523 60.0% 2,160,314
Greece 5,010,656 10.0% 502,693
Kossovo 2,200,000 90.0% 1,980,000
Serbia 865,984 7.8% 67,376
Serbia Sancak 235,567 60.4% 142,353
Mntgro Sancak 190,477 40.8% 77,715
Montenegro 229,459 13.7% 31,322
Romania 971,643 6.9% 67,500
Turkey 11,420,015 99.9% 11,408,595
Total 38,954,036 51.0% 19,869,530
If you leave out today's European Turkey, which is almost a third (!) of the population, you end up with 31% Muslim. By comparison, the Muslim % in 1877 is estimated to have been about 43%.
If you consider the large number of Muslims that were evicted or killed between 1877-1922, that gives you an interesting idea of how the demographics might have gone.
Given that Turkey's population today is almost four times that of the rest of what would have been Ottoman Balkan territory, it seems possible that given a rail network, demographic trends would have made the Balkans a heavily Muslim place over time.
Food for thought.
I took all the territory of the empire and used Wikipedia to determine the populations and the % Muslim - when necessary, I delved into individual districts.
The results - Name, total pop, % Muslim, ttl Muslim:
Bulgaria 7,639,000 12.2% 931,958
Macedonia 2,038,514 33.3% 678,825
Bosnia 4,552,198 40.0% 1,820,879
Albania 3,600,523 60.0% 2,160,314
Greece 5,010,656 10.0% 502,693
Kossovo 2,200,000 90.0% 1,980,000
Serbia 865,984 7.8% 67,376
Serbia Sancak 235,567 60.4% 142,353
Mntgro Sancak 190,477 40.8% 77,715
Montenegro 229,459 13.7% 31,322
Romania 971,643 6.9% 67,500
Turkey 11,420,015 99.9% 11,408,595
Total 38,954,036 51.0% 19,869,530
If you leave out today's European Turkey, which is almost a third (!) of the population, you end up with 31% Muslim. By comparison, the Muslim % in 1877 is estimated to have been about 43%.
If you consider the large number of Muslims that were evicted or killed between 1877-1922, that gives you an interesting idea of how the demographics might have gone.
Given that Turkey's population today is almost four times that of the rest of what would have been Ottoman Balkan territory, it seems possible that given a rail network, demographic trends would have made the Balkans a heavily Muslim place over time.
Food for thought.